Investment decision path

Every stage must earn the right to continue.

A greenhouse investment should not move from idea to construction in one leap. Each step produces evidence, defines the next commitment and ends with a formal Go, Refine or No-Go decision.

10

decision gates

4

investment phases

1

controlled route to operation

Capital discipline

Evidence first.
Commitment second.

Every gate limits premature expenditure. A project advances only when the required facts, owner, budget and next commitment are clear. This protects investor capital, exposes weak assumptions early and keeps technical design connected to a viable food-production business.

Phase 01

Opportunity foundation

Prove that the location, crop and market belong together.

01

Climate due diligence

Decision question

Can the intended crops be produced reliably during the target seasons?

Required deliverable

A climate-risk profile covering temperature, humidity, radiation, wind, dust, rainfall and extreme periods, with a preliminary climate-system direction.

Decision gateGo when the production window and required systems are technically credible.
GoRefineNo-Go
02

Crop strategy

Decision question

Which crops, varieties, production methods and harvest windows fit the location and operator?

Required deliverable

A shortlisted crop portfolio, production system, indicative cycles and volumes, and the operational demands behind them.

Decision gateGo when crop requirements can be supported by climate, water, skills and market.
GoRefineNo-Go
03

Market validation

Decision question

Who will buy, to which specification, in what volume, when and at what defensible price?

Required deliverable

Buyer segments, volume absorption, quality and packaging specifications, seasonal price scenarios and a practical logistics route.

Decision gateGo when marketable volumes and the price case are evidenced—not assumed.
GoRefineNo-Go
Phase 02

Resource & capital proof

Translate the opportunity into resource loads, full capital need and financeable economics.

04

Utilities & workforce

Decision question

Are electricity, water, gas or fuel, communications and labour available at the required quality, capacity and reliability?

Required deliverable

Utility loads, water analysis and balance, connection and backup strategy, plus a workforce and skills plan.

Decision gateGo when critical resources are secure or have credible, funded solutions.
GoRefineNo-Go
05

Capital requirement

Decision question

What total capital is required to reach stable operation—not merely to erect the greenhouse?

Required deliverable

CAPEX for greenhouse, systems, site, utilities, service areas, packhouse, cooling, development and contingency, plus working capital.

Decision gateGo when the sponsor accepts the complete funding envelope and contingency.
GoRefineNo-Go
06

Financial feasibility

Decision question

Can the project withstand realistic downside scenarios and the cost of finance?

Required deliverable

Revenue, OPEX and cash-flow models with sensitivities, ROI, IRR, payback and debt-service capacity, supported by a debt, equity or blended-finance structure.

Decision gateGo when resilience and returns meet the agreed investor and lender criteria.
GoRefineNo-Go
Phase 03

Commitment & delivery

Convert an investable case into controlled commitments and a commissioned asset.

07

Project & payment plan

Decision question

What must be decided, paid, procured and completed at every milestone?

Required deliverable

Defined scope and responsibilities, contracting strategy, master schedule, long-lead plan and cash-draw schedule tied to measurable milestones.

Decision gateGo when governance, contracts, funds, land and approvals are ready.
GoRefineNo-Go
08

Engineering, procurement & execution

Decision question

Can the project be delivered safely, compliantly, on scope, on time and on budget?

Required deliverable

Detailed engineering, permits, procurement, local assembly and construction, quality assurance, commissioning and acceptance testing.

Decision gateGo to crop start only after the technical completion and commissioning criteria pass.
GoRefineNo-Go
Phase 04

Operational readiness

Make the facility productive, not merely complete.

09

Inputs & crop-start readiness

Decision question

Are plant material, fertilisers, substrate, biological control, tools, spares, packaging and equipment ready?

Required deliverable

Approved suppliers, procurement calendar, opening inventory, planting plan, hygiene protocol and input quality control.

Decision gateGo to planting only when critical inputs, systems and people are in place.
GoRefineNo-Go
10

Training, coaching & management

Decision question

Can the local team operate, maintain and commercially manage the facility?

Required deliverable

SOPs, grower, operator and technical training, a coaching period, KPI dashboard, maintenance routines and management cadence.

Decision gateGo to independent operation when competencies and performance thresholds are demonstrated.
GoRefineNo-Go

The decision language

Clear outcomes at every gate.

A No-Go is not failure. It protects capital and can redirect the opportunity toward another crop, market, site, scale or timing.

Go

Evidence is sufficient. Scope, funds, ownership and the next commitment are identified.

Refine

The opportunity remains credible, but essential data or a workable solution is still missing.

No-Go

An unresolved condition makes the risk, resource demand or economics unacceptable.

Start at the right gate

Bring the opportunity.
We structure the evidence.

Start project qualification

A greenhouse opportunity to discuss?

Bring the location, ambition and current facts.

Your project intake is reviewed by Edo Raus. If the opportunity fits, DutchAgriTech proposes the appropriate paid next stage.

Contact Edo about a project Structured intake · Confidential review · Clear next step